New EU trade curbs are clouding the outlook for Indian manganese alloy exports in 2026. Europe has been a meaningful outlet for Indian silico manganese and ferro manganese, so tighter quotas or duties would push more material back into the domestic market and weigh on local prices. Producers are watching how the measures are implemented in practice, how quota volumes are allocated between origins, and whether alternative export corridors in Asia and the Middle East can absorb the tonnage that Europe no longer takes on workable terms.